My last post, “Fixing Obamacare Rather Than Repealing It,”presents a comprehensive new healthcare reform proposal by Avik Roy of the Manhattan Institute. His plan has the ambitious goal of expanding health insurance coverage beyond ACA levels and at the same time achieving a huge deficit reduction compared with current CBO projections. Mr. Roy points out, for example, that for all of Medicare’s huge cost, $635 billion in 2014 alone, it does not provide catastrophic coverage against long-term hospitalizations. The supplemental insurance program, “Medigap,” accelerates Medicare’s wasteful spending by wiping out cost-sharing features such as co-pays and deductibles. Medigap has proven hard to change because it generates huge royalty fees for the AARP, $458 million in 2011, for example. For all of these reasons and others, Medicare needs big changes.
The core Medicare reform of Mr. Roy’s Universal Exchange Plan is to increase the eligibility age by four months per year forever, beginning in 2016. This means that current seniors can stay in the existing Medicare program but that future retirees will remain in the universal state-based exchanges for an increasing period of time. This is estimated to save $6.5 trillion over 30 years.
Additional features of the new Medicare program are:
Reduce Medicare subsidies for hospital’s uncollected bills saving $4 billion per year.
Exempt Medicare Part C and Part D from state and local taxes.
Combine Part A and Part B into a single insurance product saving $30 billion per year by reforming Medigap.
Introduce additional means-testing into Part D premiums.
Reduce waste, fraud and abuse systematically, saving approximately $50 billion per year.
Restore the ability of seniors to opt out of Medicare.
Restore the pre-ACA tax subsidy for employer-sponsored retiree coverage (to encourage more employers to sponsor retiree health benefits).
Address the physician shortage through additional medical education funding costing $6 billion per year.
Medicare spends 30% of its overall budget on end-of-life care (for the last six months of life). The reforms suggested by Mr. Roy will allow it to operate much more efficiently and thereby put a greater focus on the end-of-life care which is its fundamental purpose.
The Manhattan Institute’s Avik Roy has just released a comprehensive and very impressive new study of the American healthcare system, “Transcending Obamacare: A Patient-Centered Plan for Near-Universal Coverage and Permanent Fiscal Solvency.” By 2025 it will increase insurance coverage by 12.1 million above Affordable Care Act levels. It will at the same time achieve a 30 year deficit reduction of $8 trillion compared to current CBO projections (see chart below). More specifically Mr. Roy’s new Universal Exchange Plan will
Expand coverage well above ACA levels without an individual mandate
Improve the quality of coverage and care for low-income Americans
Make all U.S. healthcare entitlement programs permanently solvent
Reduce the federal deficit without raising taxes
Reduce the cost of health insurance
The five core elements of Mr. Roy’s Plan are:
Exchange Reform. The ACA’s individual mandate is repealed. The Plan restores the primacy of state-based exchanges and insurance regulation. Insurers are encouraged to design policies of high quality tailored to individual need. By lowering the cost of insurance for younger and healthier individuals, the Plan will expand coverage without a mandate.
Employer-sponsored Insurance Reform. The employer mandate is repealed, thereby offering employers a wider range of options for subsidizing employees insurance.
Medicaid Reform. The Plan migrates the Medicaid acute-care population onto the reformed state-based exchanges with 100% federal funding. The Plan returns to the states full financial responsibility for the Medicaid long-termcare population.
Medicare Reform. The Plan gradually raises the Medicare eligibility age by four months each year forever. The end result is to preserve Medicare for current retirees and to maintain future retirees on their exchange-based or employer sponsored health plans.
Other Reforms. The Plan tackles the growing problems of hospital system monopolies and malpractice litigation and also accelerates the pace of medical innovation by reforming the Food and Drug Administration.
These reform proposals are amazingly ambitious and far reaching in scope. How can they possibly be achieved? Stay tuned!