Today’s Omaha World Herald reprints the article “Get-nothing-done Congress is disrespectful to democracy” by the Baltimore Sun writer, Andrew Yarrow. Mr. Yarrow says that “the 112th Congress, which ended in 2012, passed fewer bills than any Congress in recent memory, and the current 113th Congress is on track to do just as badly. … What Congress does do often seems patently ridiculous. … We need to … ramp up public pressure to get something done, rather than just fight.”
But is the problem just to do something, anything, or is it rather to do something worthwhile? And what if there is a fundamental disagreement, as there is today, about what is worthwhile? One party thinks that the way to boost the economy and speed up the recovery is to increase artificial stimulus (government spending) and to pay for it by raising taxes on the rich. The other party is appalled by the $6 trillion in deficit spending racked up so far by the current administration and wants to slam on the brakes. Each side is working as hard as it can to prevail, especially by discrediting and embarrassing the other side. How do you resolve a dispute like this?
There is really only one person who has the clout and visibility to get this done and that is the President. But when the President is the divider-in-chief, spending much of his time and effort proposing unsound economic and fiscal policies, intended primarily for short term political gain, what is the other party supposed to do? Acquiesce by passing new laws that will just make things worse? Or by standing firm on principle and hoping that the general public will be able to understand and appreciate its opposition to bad policies?
This is the situation which we are currently in. It makes for a difficult and unpleasant time. The economy is slowly recovering from the Great Recession on its own. Let’s hope that this trend continues and that we can muddle through our present political predicament.
Category Archives: federal spending
The National Significance of the Municipal Pension Crisis
The New York Times reported yesterday that “Chicago Sees Pension Crisis Drawing Near”. “A crushing problem lurks behind the signs of economic recovery in Chicago: one of the most poorly funded pension systems among the nation’s major cities. … The pension fund for retired Chicago teachers stands at risk of collapse.”
William Daley, former chief of staff for President Obama and now a Democratic candidate for governor of Illinois says that “Anyone who thinks that this is just a problem on paper, those are the same people who looked at Detroit 20 years ago and said, ‘Don’t worry about it, we can handle it.’” Chicago Mayor, Rahm Emanuel, another former chief of staff for President Obama, says that “What the system needs is a hard, cold, dose of honesty. I understand the anger. I totally respect it. You have every right to be angry because there were contracts voted on. People agreed to something. But things get updated all the time.”
Just as Chicago and Illinois need a cold dose of honesty about the public pension crisis in that city and state, so does our entire country need a cold dose of honesty about our national fiscal crisis. Shall we wait 20 years or until this problem explodes in our faces (or our children’s faces), or shall we start to deal with it now, while we can still proceed in a rational manner?
Our current public debt (on which we pay interest) is now $12 trillion. With artificially low interest rates, we are paying “only” $250 billion annually in interest on this debt. When interest rates resume their historical average of 5%, our annual interest rate will jump to $600 billion. Where will we find an additional $350 billion per year for interest payments alone? Will we take it from entitlements, from social services for the poor, from our defense budget? Or will we just increase our deficit even more to pay for it? It will have to come from somewhere!
Wake up, America! Learn from the municipal pension crisis. Now is the time to get things straightened out. Further procrastination will have dire consequences.
The New York Times is in Denial
An editorial in yesterday’s New York Times, “Republican No-Shows in the Budget Wars”, ridicules House Republican leadership for having the temerity to propose $4 billion in cuts from this year’s budgets for transportation and housing, and expecting Republican representatives to support such “draconian” cuts. “But the House’s skittishness at the decidedly unpopular costs of some of the party’s budget strictures presented a revealing tableau of both hypocrisy and weakness: Republicans could not pass their own cramped vision of the future.”
The underlying problem is that the House Budget for discretionary spending for 2014, at $967 billion, is almost $100 billion less than the Senate’s $1058 billion budget. The House insists on continuing the sequester cuts for the full ten years agreed upon when the sequester mechanism was set up two years ago. The Senate is ignoring the sequester agreement because it wants to replace it by a combination of milder cuts and tax increases. The Republicans would prefer to replace the across-the-board sequester cuts by a more rational budget cutting plan but the Democrats are unwilling to negotiate such a plan.
The Democratic Party, and its media supporters such as the New York Times, simply refuses to acknowledge that the United States has a fiscal problem. $6 trillion in deficit spending in the last five years apparently does not make a serious impression. The mantra is that we’ll worry about our enormous deficits, and exploding national debt, later, after the economy more fully recovers from the Great Recession. But after four years of recovery such an argument makes no sense. There are lots of effective ways to boost the economy but continued artificial stimulus (deficit spending) is not one of them.
Wake up, Keynesians! We need to turn things around and the sooner the better. Stop ridiculing the mostly Republican fiscal conservatives who are valiantly striving to accomplish this herculean task under the most trying circumstances.
The A+ Method to Reform Federal Education Policy
The Heritage Foundation’s Lindsey Burke has recently described, in “A-Plus: A Conservative Alternative to NCLB”, a new bill, The Academic Partnerships Lead Us to Success Act, recently introduced into both houses of Congress. A+ would allow states to completely opt out of all programs which fall under No Child Left Behind and send NCLB funding back to the states in the form of block grants to be used for the most pressing educational needs.
Under such an arrangement, states would have to describe how they plan to improve education for disadvantaged students. Performance data for various student demographic groups would be disaggregated and states would have to demonstrate how they have narrowed achievement gaps. Many other safeguards would also be in place.
The problems with NCLB are well known. The Adequate Yearly Progress requirement, that all students be proficient in reading and mathematics by 2014, is unrealistic and has led to the watering-down of proficiency standards. The Highly Qualified Teacher mandate is too rigid and should be under the purview of local education leaders. Standards and assessments, such as the Common Core and national tests, would no longer be dictated by the U.S. Secretary of Education.
There are huge budgetary ramifications of A+. At the present time there are over 80 individual grant programs under NCLB, which have a total annual budget of more than $25 billion. Consolidating all of these numerous individual programs into a single K-12 block grant to each state would easily allow a 20%, or $5 billion, annual savings to the federal government as well as saving states and local school systems much expense in administering the newly streamlined federal education policy.
Here is an example of a good way of improving one particularly large and expensive federal program. This sort of retrenchment needs to happen throughout the federal government. Let’s get started in doing what needs to be done!